Editor's Note: Point - CounterpointPhilippe and Evelyne Krynen, heads of a 230-employee medical relief organization in the Kagera province of Tanzania... have learned... that HIV-positive and HIV-negative villagers suffer from the same diseases and respond equally well to treatment. Philippe Krynen's verdict: "There is no AIDS. It is something that has been invented. There are no epidemiological grounds for it; it doesn't exist for us."
- Reason magazine, June 1994In the April 23 (1994) issue of the medical journal Lancet, Dr. Daan Mulder and his collegues at the Medical Research Council in Uganda reported that of almost 9,400 Ugandans they studied, those who were HIV-positive had a death rate that was nearly 14 times greater than those who were HIV-negative. [Specifically: the HIV- negative death rate was 8 in 1,000 and the HIV-positive death rate was 116 in 1,000.] - The Advocate, May 31, 1994In the above, we have anecdotal evidence denying a close association between HIV and AIDS, together with statistical evidence affirming such an association. But there remains a separate question. Suppose we accept the close (if not perfect) association. Does this prove a cause? The Advocate article has people on both sides. Among the holdouts denying that HIV is the sole cause of AIDS are Dr. Joseph Sonnabend, Dr. Jeffrey Laurence, and, of course, Dr. Peter Duesberg. They would consider this "proof-of-cause" claim a case of the post hoc, ergo propter hoc (after this, therefore because of this) fallacy.
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